MOB: Oscar Predictions - Best Supporting Actress

This race isn't much more exciting than it's Supporting counterpart.

1. Mo'Nique - 99.999999%
2. Maggie Gyllenhaal - .0000001%
3. Anna Kendrick - 0%
4. Vera Farmiga - 0%
5. Penélope Cruz - 0%





To quote The Onion, "Mo'Nique know she look good." And she's known she's gonna win that Oscar, as we all did, since February 2009 at the Sundance premiere of Precious. Her lock status more or less started there and only got stronger when everyone saw it. Usually, in that kind of situation, your buzz peaks too soon. In other cases, it just seals its position in the history books. And an already historic performance as this won rarely loses.



Maggie Gyllenhaal is beloved in Hollywood and overdue for a decade of some definitively bold work. But that's why she got nominated. And nothing could be worse for her career if she beats Mo'Nique.



Who knew this Twilight starlet would turn in one of the best Supporting Actress performances of the year? Girlfriend tore up the screen as the tightly wound professional Ivy grad trying to mature much too soon, much to the detriment of the age she lives in. Splitting votes with the divine Vera Farmiga and in a movie that's past its glory day(s), she knows she doesn't have a God's chance in beating Mo'Nique. But this cute little ball of spunk enjoys being there nevertheless.



Overdue indie darling Farmiga gave as appropriately a mature performance as foil Anna Kendrick gave one of less maturity in Up in the Air, but she questionably never got quite the level of praise among critics as her younger counterpart did, though actual viewers of the film largely seem divided over who was better. Team Farmiga, here, but it's all heresay anyways since both lovely ladies got nominated and will have to be grateful for just that.




Penélope is quickly becoming an unlikely Academy darling with her third nomination of the past four years, including holding leftover good will for one of the most deserving Supporting Oscars of the decade granted to her last year for tearing up every fierce second of her brief fourteen minute performance in Vicky Christina Barcelona, where she left enough of an impression to make one think she was a lead role. With Nine she brings forth a similar sexual ferocity in her line delivery that proves she's quickly becoming one of the world's top comediennes. Her new found love has assured the failure of Nine it's only major nomination, thanks in conjunction to her acclaimed performance in Broken Embraces earlier in the year, but she probably only just reached the cutoff in this category.

Next up: Best Original Screenplay!